BEIJING听–听颁丑颈苍补’蝉听manufacturing听补肠迟颈惫颈迟测听expanded at the听蹿补蝉迟别蝉迟听辫补肠别听in more than a decade in February, an official index showed on Wednesday, smashing expectations as production zoomed after the lifting of COVID-19 restrictions late last year.
The manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) shot up to 52.6 from 50.1 in January, according to聽颁丑颈苍补’蝉听National Bureau of Statistics, above the 50-point mark that separates expansion and contraction in听补肠迟颈惫颈迟测. The PMI far exceeded an analyst forecast of 50.5 and was the highest reading听蝉颈苍肠别听April听2012.
The world’s second-largest economy recorded one of its worst years in nearly half a century in 2022 due to strict COVID lockdowns and subsequent widespread infections. The curbs were abruptly lifted in December as the highly transmissible Omicron spread across the country.
Global markets cheered the big surprise in the PMI with Asian stocks and the Australian dollar聽,听迟丑别听聽perking up聽, as investors took a more optimistic view on聽颁丑颈苍补’蝉听economic prospects.
“The high PMI readings partly reflect the economy’s weak starting point coming into this year and are likely to drop back before long as the聽辫补肠别听of the recovery slows,” said Julian Evans-Pritchard, head of China economics at Capital Economics.
“We had already been expecting a rapid near-term rebound, but the latest data suggest that even our above-consensus forecasts for growth of 5.5% this year may prove too conservative.”
Markets expect the annual meeting of parliament, which kicks off this weekend, will set economic targets and elect new top economic officials.
“The decent PMI readings provide a positive note for the upcoming National People’s Congress. We expect the government to roll out further supportive policies to cement the economic recovery,” said Zhou Hao, economist at Guotai Junan International.
The official PMI came out just before an upbeat private sector index from聽Caixin/S&P聽that showed听补肠迟颈惫颈迟测听rising for the first time in seven months.
Businesses accelerated their resumption of work and production, as the effect of economic stabilization policies was felt by the sector while the impact of COVID-19 receded, the NBS said in a separate statement.
Furniture manufacturing, metal products and electrical machinery equipment saw big improvements, with production and new orders indexes in these industries all above 60.0.
MIXED OUTLOOK
New export orders rose for the first time听蝉颈苍肠别听April 2021, the PMI showed.
At the same time,聽颁丑颈苍补’蝉听PMI contrasted with more聽聽for February, showing conditions abroad were sluggish.
More broadly, the outlook remains mixed as the country’s major trading partners deal with surging interest rates and cost pressures.
颁丑颈苍补’蝉听manufacturing sector had been under pressure this year聽聽in January, data last month showed, due to still cautious domestic consumption and uncertain foreign demand.
Manufacturing companies have also seen surging purchasing prices in steel and related downstream industries, the NBS said.
The official non-manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) rose to 56.3 from 54.4 in January, indicating the听蹿补蝉迟别蝉迟听辫补肠别听of expansion听蝉颈苍肠别听March 2021.
Construction听补肠迟颈惫颈迟测, which is part of the official non-manufacturing PMI, picked up further, standing at 60.2 from 56.4, partly due to the resulting boost to infrastructure spending and increasing financing to help developers complete stalled projects.
Services听补肠迟颈惫颈迟测听also continued to rise with improvements in the transportation and accommodation sectors.
On Friday,聽颁丑颈苍补’蝉听central bank said the domestic economy was expected to generally rebound in 2023, although the external environment remained “severe and complex.”
The composite PMI, which includes both manufacturing and non-manufacturing听补肠迟颈惫颈迟测, rose to 56.4 from 52.9. – Reuters
