Special Features Writer
Bjorn Biel M. Beltran
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2018 hasn鈥檛 been great for the Philippine stock market. The Philippine Stock Exchange Index (PSEi) fared among the worst performing markets this year, sowing a lot of fear and doubt among new traders on the wisdom of investing locally.
But where there are problems, there are also massive opportunities. And it鈥檚 in this economic context that non-brokerage stock market platform Investagrams held its Traders鈥 Summit 2018. Investors, traders, and stock market enthusiasts gathered together to discuss strategies for getting ahead as a trader.
For those new to trading on the stock market, or interested in launching a career in trading, here are some key insights from some of the best in the field.
David Ramolete (a.k.a. King Trade) opened the day with a discussion about balancing stock market trading with a full-time career. According to him, many people are hesitant to become more involved in the stock market because they feel they don鈥檛 have enough money or time. He stressed that you don鈥檛 need much of both to start.
鈥淲hat鈥檚 important is that you start as soon as possible and maximize the power of time and compound interest to our advantage,鈥 he said.
Starting small and just getting the ball rolling is the best move for beginners, he says.
For people with full-time jobs, Ramolete said, around fifteen to thirty minutes a day would be enough to execute end-of-day (EOD) trading strategies. EOD simply refers to a time in the market where the stocks reflect the closing prices for the day. In the Philippine market, that鈥檚 between 3:17 and 3:30 p.m.
鈥淏eing busy is not an excuse to not earn from the stock market,鈥 he said.
EOD Trading fits most market profiles, from long term investors to short and medium term traders so anyone can profit from it provided they put in the work. What鈥檚 more, EOD trading protects traders from the noise of intra-day fluctuations in stock prices, allowing them to focus on bigger moves and capital preservation.
The only limitation to EOD is that it doesn鈥檛 give much room for high risk trades that reward quick responses and precision timing.
Because EOD traders don鈥檛 have much time to monitor market performance, it鈥檚 crucial to make safe decisions to be able to turn a profit. The focus should be on bigger moves, based on patterns like swings and trends.
Look for uptrending stocks that have consistently been hitting higher highs and lower lows over a given period, or stocks that are trading above their moving average. Wait for a breakout before putting it on your watchlist, then plan accordingly.
If things go poorly, set a stop loss at levels you鈥檙e comfortable with. If things go well, sell at the first sign of resistance. Rinse and repeat.
鈥淲hat is the difference between a market loser and a profitable trader? That one thing that will make you fail as traders. That is a lack of focus,鈥 said Nikki Jurado (a.k.a Nomad Finance Girl).
Newbie traders often get so distracted by obsessing over the most successful strategies and the best performing traders that they tend to jump from one strategy to another.
Develop a strategy that works for you and fits your appetite, and stick to it. To be a successful trader, you must be willing to put in the effort needed to hone your own skills and strategies.
The reason so many people quit trading early, Jurado said, is that they simply don鈥檛 have a purpose strong enough to sustain them whenever they suffer losses. When money is the goal, it becomes much harder to power through a process that may end up losing more money down the road.
鈥淲hat makes people successful is what they do with their time and their money. They live their lives everyday with purpose. They have something to fight for; they have values that drive them. That for me is what makes a successful trader,鈥 she said.
鈥淢oney is never strong enough to make you stay when everything goes to shit. And I鈥檓 telling you right now, everything will go to shit.鈥
Since much of stock market trading relies on statistics and probability, mistakes are par for the course. Trial-and-error is an essential part of the process, especially when you鈥檙e just starting out building your own strategies. Jurado recommends making as many mistakes as you can learn from.
鈥淢ake mistakes that you鈥檒l never forget,鈥 she said. 鈥淢istakes that you鈥檒l always regret. Unless you make these mistakes, stupid embarrassing decisions, unless you鈥檙e able to go through the shit, you鈥檒l never make it.鈥
鈥淪o make mistakes, fail often, fail hard, but never quit,鈥 she said.
Celeste Rodriguez (a.k.a. Rooting for Celeste) said that people who are just starting to trade have to commit to being a student.
鈥淵ou have to have the hunger to keep learning,鈥 she said.
At this stage, the focus should be on building the character and grit you need for success. And that means looking for the best mentors available to you. Positive influence and a supportive community can dictate what direction you go in the future, and is crucial to your early development as a trader.
Rodriguez also recommended establishing early habits like journaling to help navigate what she calls the 鈥淟earning Jungle鈥, where traders try to build a system of their own.
After about a year into trading and finding a system that works for you, you should then focus on gaining more experience, tweaking your strategies as you go. Focus on risk management. At this point, it鈥檚 more about building your own competence and confidence in your system than it is about making money.
鈥淵our goal is to build a system, learn, and survive,鈥 Rodriguez said.
鈥淭he more you know about your methods, the more you figure out what its strengths and weaknesses are. If you know it enough, you鈥檒l know when to play and when to pass.鈥
When you hopefully achieve mastery of your own system, try to strive for consistency. Just because you鈥檝e become a successful trader doesn鈥檛 mean you can be complacent. Always evaluate yourself and how you perform in the market.
鈥淚t is not the strongest species that survive. It鈥檚 the one that is most adaptable to change,鈥 Rodriguez said.
It鈥檚 often easier to find what you鈥檙e looking for if you know how to look for them. This is what Akio Kashiwagi (MoneyGrowers.ph) talked about in his session, 鈥楾he Art of Bottom Picking鈥. He said that every trader should have a trading strategy, a specific set of entry and exit rules in trading.
Sticking to your rules even if they put you at a loss or you feel like you鈥檙e missing out on a good trade will save you some heartache later on.
鈥淧atience is not inaction. It is simply knowing what you are looking for and taking action at the right time,鈥 he said.
What may work for another trader may not necessarily work for you. This is why system-hopping, or frequently changing trading strategies, is so detrimental to your overall growth as a trader.
Kashiwagi suggested that you find a strategy that works best for your lifestyle, your goals, and your temperament, then master it.
鈥淭he biggest determinant of a trading system鈥檚 success is the ability of the trader to follow it one hundred percent.鈥
The only way to be a successful trader is to build confidence in yourself and your system. Backtest and forward test your strategies. Collect and look at the data. Look at the patterns that form over time. If you鈥檙e unsure, try virtual or paper trading first before you put money on the market.
Once you鈥檝e found a system that works for you, believe in it even in the worst of times.
鈥淚f you trade, you must remember it鈥檚 like a pendulum. You will experience both the extreme sides: the pain and the joy. That鈥檚 how your character will be tested,鈥 Kashiwagi said.
鈥淗ow you will be able to pick yourself up from the bottom, that is the real art of bottom picking.鈥