Musk鈥檚 payday is a lot like Tesla stock: full of hot air

By Mark Gongloff
IF YOU SPENT most of your time at your day job working on several side gigs and posting inflammatory content on social media, then you might expect to get replaced by a robot or at least brace for a serious talk with your manager about a pay cut. But if you鈥檙e Elon Musk, you end up getting promised annual compensation worth $158 billion to keep you motivated.
That鈥檚 how much Tesla, Inc. valued the compensation for its highly distracted and distracting, but evidently irreplaceable, chief executive officer in 2025, the company disclosed late Thursday. It鈥檚 part of a package that could eventually total $1 trillion, which shareholders approved last year 鈥渁s a way to to spend more time at the electric-vehicle maker,鈥 as The Wall Street Journal put it.
In other words, when workers鈥 wages have stagnated and many of us are worried about losing our jobs to AI, Musk gets promised enough capital in one year to buy ConocoPhillips outright and still have a few billion left over for walking-around money. To be fair, the actual cash Musk pocketed last year was because all of his compensation was tied up in equity award grants, Bloomberg News notes. He鈥檒l get $132 billion, more than enough to buy Starbucks Corp., only if Tesla hits certain performance targets. It hit none of them last year.
That gets at one of the issues with both Musk鈥檚 compensation and Tesla鈥檚 stock price: Both are Thanksgiving Day parade balloons filled with hot air and wishes. Tesla is no longer really an electric-car maker. It鈥檚 an aspiring robotaxi/robot butler/computer-chip maker with products and profits that exist only in a mystical future promised by Musk.
Despite years of not coming true, these promises are still good enough for both Tesla鈥檚 comatose board of directors and its shareholders, who have enjoyed watching the company鈥檚 stock grow to 198 times future 12-month earnings. As my colleague Liam Denning has written, this compares with a forward P/E ratio of about 25 for the . Musk鈥檚 2025 pay is about twice the Ebitda Tesla has generated since 2010, Liam notes.
As it relates to Tesla鈥檚 stock price, the Elon Musk has been defying the laws of physics and logic for at least a decade. You should expect to go broke betting against it. But it reflects similarly perverse and unsustainable trends in the modern economy. Tesla鈥檚 market cap may never decline, but something has to give here.
US CEOs make the average annual pay of their workers, according to the Economic Policy Institute, up from a ratio of about 20 in 1965. Other companies have even begun to emulate Tesla鈥檚 鈥減ay-to-pray鈥 approach to keeping their bosses engaged. Tesla rival Rivian Automotive, Inc. paid its CEO last year, mostly in options, as part of a similarly incentive-driven package.
Meanwhile, workers鈥 annual wage increases have for the past four years, with inflation outpacing them for much of that time. Now President Donald Trump鈥檚 war in Iran is driving fuel prices higher, with gasoline hitting $4.40 a gallon in the US, and threatening to reawaken inflation that was only recently subdued. Housing affordability has plunged since the pandemic, putting the American Dream out of reach for millions. No wonder the University of Michigan鈥檚 consumer sentiment index is at its .
And thanks to Musk and other Big Tech CEOs, Americans think the future is even bleaker for workers. The Mag Seven is spending this year and possibly next year on ramping up AI, a technology few Americans asked for and most now fear will and make their lives .
Musk is a uniquely qualified talisman of these inequities, thanks partly to his moonlighting as a government official. His Department of Government Efficiency last year separated government workers from their jobs. It gutted the US Agency for International Development, risking a year, according to Oxfam. All of this carnage was based on a promise to save the government money and eventually (that hazy future again) make Americans鈥 lives better. It was another promise unfulfilled. Tesla shareholders might swallow such disappointment forever. The rest of us don鈥檛 have to.
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