Tricycle drivers line up at a gasoline station in Manila. 鈥 PHILIPPINE STAR/RYAN BALDEMOR

By Sheldeen Joy Talavera, Reporter

FUEL PRICES extended their weeks-long run of increases, although the pace of hikes has begun to ease as volatility in the global oil market is showing signs of subsiding, the Department of Energychief said on Monday.

Initial estimates showed that gasoline prices will increase by up to P6.47 per liter, diesel by up to P11.88 per liter, and kerosene by up to P13.66 per liter, Energy Secretary Sharon S. Garin said.

鈥淭he international oil market has calmed down. The last few days, it looks like there was not much spike (in prices),鈥 she told DZMM radio partly in Filipino.

Jetti Petroleum, Inc. said that it will implement a one-time price hike of P18 per liter for diesel and P8 per liter for gasoline, starting Tuesday morning.

Seaoil Philippines, Inc. and Unioil Petroleum Philippines, Inc. are also implementing one-time price hikes, with diesel going up by P16.80 per liter and gasoline increasing by P9.70 per liter.

This week鈥檚 adjustments would mean prices of diesel and kerosene would increase for a 13th straight week, while gasoline will go up for an 11th week in a row.

The prevailing per-liter gasoline and diesel prices in the National Capital Region may go as high as P98.07 and P126.78, respectively, while kerosene costs may reach P157.45 per liter.

Ms. Garin admitted that the fuel prices in the Philippines are higher compared with neighboring countries that subsidize oil prices.

鈥淎lso, we don鈥檛 have a robust refinery or oil industry. We only have one refinery, but that鈥檚 one of the reasons prices increase quickly. Other countries can subsidize, but we don鈥檛 do that because of the Oil Deregulation Law,鈥 she said.

The Philippines is a net importer of crude oil and sources most of its supply from the Middle East, making the country vulnerable to global crude price swings.

鈥楽TEADY SUPPLY鈥
The Energy chief said that the current oil supply is 鈥渟teady鈥 until the first week of May.

To augment fuel supply, the Philippines is seeking to procure at least two million barrels of oil from other countries.

The country has already secured 500,000 barrels of diesel last week and is trying to lock in an additional 500,000 barrels, Ms. Garin said.

鈥淲e still have to lock in the contract, then it will be loaded and shipped here, so it may take another one to two weeks, depending on the origin,鈥 she said.

Asked if the current situation can be considered an 鈥渙il crisis,鈥 Ms. Garin sidestepped the question.

鈥淔or me, the worst or the crisis that we would face is on supply. We will lack supply, have rationing or we will really fall short,鈥 she said. 鈥淚n this case, the Philippines has supply. It鈥檚 sufficient for the industry and day-to-day consumption.鈥

Currently, the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for one-fifth of the world鈥檚 oil, remains open to all shipping except vessels linked to 鈥淚ran鈥檚 enemies,鈥 Reuters reported.

Fatih Birol, executive director of the International Energy Agency, said the crisis brought by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East is 鈥渧ery severe鈥 and worse than the two oil shocks of the 1970s, as well as the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on gas, Reuters said, citing the National Press Club.

He said that the 鈥渟ingle most important solution to this problem is opening the Hormuz Strait.鈥

Asked to comment, Jose M. Layug, Jr., executive board member of the independent energy research institute Philippine Energy Research & Policy Institute, said that the current crisis is 鈥渨orse鈥 than what happened in 2011 where sanctions against Iran drove up oil prices.

鈥淭he problem will not end soon. We need to adopt aggressive measures to reduce demand for petroleum products. It has to be a whole-of-government approach where every department needs to craft plans and programs towards possible supply shortage and price shocks,鈥 Mr. Layug told 大象传媒.