Job seekers fill out application forms at a job fair in Manila, Feb. 24, 2023. 鈥 PHILIPPINE STAR/EDD GUMBAN

By Erika Mae P. Sinaking, Reporter

THE government will continue to strengthen its labor market programs, the Department of Labor and Employment (DoLE) said after the unemployment rate rose to 5.8% in January.

In a statement over the weekend, the department said the increase in the number of unemployed Filipinos to 2.96 million from 2.17 million a year ago reflects a 鈥渟easonal normalization鈥 following the holiday peak.

The agency noted that the transition of workers out of temporary arrangements led to a 1.489 million decline in total employment from December 2025.

鈥淭he department notes that despite these short-term fluctuations, the Philippine labor market continues to benefit from sound macroeconomic fundamentals and sustained employment generation efforts across sectors,鈥 the DoLE said.

鈥淭he department will continue to promote the adoption of flexible work arrangements and MSME鈥檚 availment of the Adjustment Measures Program, to help them retain workers and preserve jobs during periods of economic adjustment or structural shifts.鈥

Jose Enrique A. Africa, executive director of IBON Foundation, told 大象传媒 in a Viber chat that the 790,000 year-on-year increase in unemployment is the 鈥渂iggest monthly year-on-year increase in 36 years鈥 outside of the pandemic.

鈥淓xplaining the adverse January 2026 LFS (Labor Force Survey) figures away as due to seasonality will be burying our head in the sand,鈥 Mr. Africa said. 鈥淭his is absolutely not seasonal but structural: work in backward agriculture is extremely volatile, the industrial sector especially manufacturing isn鈥檛 creating enough jobs, and the low-productivity service sector is a catch-basin for those unable to find work anywhere else.鈥

Philippine Statistics Authority data show the agriculture and forestry sector suffered the heaviest blow, losing 1.42 million workers year on year and 1.76 million month on month. Underemployment in January also estimated at 13.2%, affecting 6.35 million Filipinos.

Chinabank research said that the 鈥渟oft labor market conditions could intensify as geopolitical risks escalate.鈥

It pointed to the resumption of rice imports and the recent oil price shock as factors that 鈥渃ould raise production costs for firms, potentially prompting businesses to freeze or delay hiring plans.鈥

Labor groups Sentro and LEARN described the outlook as 鈥渂leak,鈥 highlighting that youth employment continues to deteriorate, with the youth NEET (not in education, employment, or training) rate rising to 14%. The groups called for a robust public employment program and an urgent shift in government employment strategy.

Kilusang Mayo Uno Deputy Secretary General Joanne Cesario denounced the administration鈥檚 reliance on job fairs and foreign investment. 鈥淭he programs the Marcos government flaunts… are nothing more than band-aid solutions,鈥 Ms. Cesario said in a statement, adding that expected repatriation of overseas Filipino workers from the Middle East would face a 鈥渃old reality of unemployment鈥 upon their return.