Introspective

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Like countless other people quarantined by COVID protocols, I sought solace in, among others, auditory stimulation. Those of us with more educated hearing found it in, say, Rachmaninoff鈥檚 2nd Piano Concerto or Bach鈥檚 fugues. I rather sought it in the more accessible airs of my generation. Among them is John Denver鈥檚 lovely tune 鈥淧erhaps Love鈥 with its eternal comfort for every age.

But while one can get lost in one鈥檚 own heavily, though perhaps subconsciously, photoshopped personal past, one cannot ignore the present鈥檚 sometimes unpleasant realities.

On May 9, Filipinos will go to the polls to elect, among others, a new president. Will we have a renewal and catharsis for which democratic elections were originally intended or will we have even deeper divisions and rancor? Putin鈥檚 war in Ukraine is raging with thousands of innocent lives mangled or snuffed out. The price of oil and gas is spiking with higher price of food, more hunger and poverty in tow. Net direct foreign investment (DFI) remains on retreat (16% in January) while foreign investment pledges to PEZA (Philippine Economic Zone Authority) shrank 94% in Feb. 2022, upending all the Departments of Trade and Industry and of Finance鈥檚 (DTI and DOF) cheery prognosis of bloated DFI response to CREATE and PSA (Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises and Public Service Act) laws. The economy has shrunk and the burning question is who among the candidates can engineer the best rebound.

Easter Monday saw social media screaming about the macho laggards in the May 9 presidential race advising VP Leni, the strongest among the pursuers 鈥 with a preference rating of 24% and rising 鈥 to quit. The crabbiest of crab mentalities on display! As expected, the wriggle out artists came out in force on the days following: 鈥淣ot I,鈥 said the cat, 鈥淚 wasn鈥檛 in the podium.鈥 鈥淣ot I,鈥 said the dog, 鈥淚 wasn鈥檛 even in the room.鈥 鈥淚 won鈥檛 apologize for a rhetorical revert,鈥 said the goat.

For as everyone knows, time-worn wisdom suggests the exact opposite. Nicolo Machiavelli (The Prince) once counseled that the best strategy for also-runs is to rally around the second strongest to keep the strongest from making slaves of everyone else. To rally away from the best challenger is just currying favor with the frontrunner, who was surely elated to know who his real friends are.

For not all tributaries are created equal. Currying favor with the strongest can earn one a higher caste tributary, a tax farmer perhaps, exacting tribute from lower caste tributaries and growing rich from crumbs deliberately misplaced. A tributary collector for the overlord is no small reward for playing into the overlord鈥檚 design. The Benedictos, the Enriles, the Floirendos, Cojuangcos, and the Lucio Tans did very well indeed as high caste tribute collectors for dictator Ferdinand Marcos.

Subsequent regimes were either incapable or unwilling to punish Ka Ferdie鈥檚 co-blood suckers. As national artist, F. Sionil Jose (may he rest in peace) once put it with utter venom, 鈥淭his is what ails us all 鈥 we do not ostracize them, we do not punish them -鈥 no, we anoint these vermin instead.鈥 It seems we are once again embarked on our vaunted tradition of anointing vermin: number crunchers maintain the May 9 vote will, absent cataclysmic events, hand the presidency over to one whose only claim to fame was a conviction for tax evasion. He keeps mum as to what he will do apart from protecting his family and recoating his father鈥檚 legacy. Since, according to the old adage, 鈥淭he apple does not fall far from the tree,鈥 instead of punishing, he may well reward his father鈥檚 centurions with a burial in the Libingan ng mga Bayani. That will reunite in death what in life was a glorious brotherhood of plunder and lies.

Democracy is strange that way: it sometimes commits suicide. People can vote freely to put on their shackles. In 1932, the highly educated democratic Weimar Republic voters handed Adolf Hitler and his goons the mantle of power. It was democratic suicide. 鈥淯ncle鈥 Adolf ran with the scepter into the unthinkable horrors of death, destruction, and gas chambers. In 2017, the world鈥檚 so-called bastion of democracy, the USA, the public voted freely to hand the scepter of power to Donald Trump who only narrowly, by the grace of God or sheer luck, failed to engineer the execution of US democracy.

In our case, cold punters insist that, cataclysms aside, the May 9 elections will hand the presidency over to a convicted tax evader, one who from his father has the genes to turn the whole country into his personal tax-free tributary and from his mother to turn the judiciary into an umbrella holder, a bit of personal bling few autocrats can match! A Philippines run like hell? But if the vote is reasonably clean, his presidency, like Hitler鈥檚 or Putin鈥檚, would be vox Dei.

One may object: 鈥淏ut true democracy is predicated on the voters deciding on the basis of truths not un-truths.鈥 Such objection is deep. It was the underlying assumption of the Condorcet Jury Theorems in the political science of voting: an electorate with a higher than 50% competence to decide correctly, will beat any autocrat in decision competence (vox Dei); but the opposite is also true: an electorate of less than 50% competence will be beaten in decision competence by any average autocrat (vox Diaboli)! The electorate will also additionally have to don the famous Rawlsian 鈥渧eil of ignorance鈥: a temporary amnesia to individual, family, and class built-in advantages. Well-nigh impossible in the age of 鈥渇ake news鈥 and 鈥渆cho chambers鈥!

For who determines truths from untruths in the post-truth era? Democracy precisely celebrates diversity of thought, lifestyles, and values. Contradictions are bound to arise as Kenneth Arrow (1950) reminded us before the age of the internet. Modern human coexistence survives in a form we call 鈥渢ruth apartheid鈥 whose motto is 鈥淭o each his/her own truth.鈥 Thus, the 鈥渃ancel culture.鈥 And apartheid always presumes cancellable 鈥渉eathens.鈥 Putin has his truths and thus its cancellable heathens; Qi Jin Ping has his. Biden has his. If we subject these competing 鈥渢ruths鈥 to a clean global one-man-one-vote tournament, Xi Jinping鈥檚 鈥渢ruths鈥 would likely win. It is no different if we choose outcomes (economic growth and poverty reduction) rather than process (one-man-one-vote) as criterion.

In the dialectics of democracy, the truth is elusive if it exists at all. To Pontius Pilate鈥檚 question 鈥淲hat is truth?,鈥 Jesus Christ responded with a deafening silence. It seemed a query too tricky even for the divine. What is democracy? I prefer to register my own silence through the lyrics of John Denver鈥檚 鈥淧erhaps Love.鈥

鈥淔or love to some is like a cloud, for some as strong as steel. For some a way of living, for some a way to feel. And some say love is holding on and some say letting go. And some say love is everything and some say they don鈥檛 know.鈥

Substitute 鈥渄emocracy鈥 for 鈥渓ove鈥 in Denver鈥檚 lines and we have, to my limited mind, a dialectics of democracy as good as any.

 

Raul V. Fabella is a retired professor of the UP School of Economics, a member of the National Academy of Science and Technology and an honorary professor of the Asian Institute of Management. He gets his dopamine fix from bicycling and tending flowers with his wife Teena.