A POLICY RATE hike may not address rising inflation, the National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) said, with the authorities looking at 鈥渕ore robust鈥 solutions on the supply side such as building food terminals to serve highly urbanized areas.
鈥淎ctually, a lot of inflation we鈥檙e seeing is due to supply constraints, supply issues. So the strategy to address this has to do with supply, not demand, which cannot be addressed via an increase in interest rates,鈥 NEDA Undersecretary for Policy and Planning Rosemarie G. Edillon said during a briefing yesterday on the economy鈥檚 performance for the first quarter.
Headline inflation averaged 4.1% in the first four months of the year after peaking at 4.5% last month, breaching the central bank鈥檚 2-4% target band. Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia called the rise in prices a 鈥渟poiler,鈥 adding that gross domestic product growth would have been within the government鈥檚 7-8% target after a 6.8% expansion in the first quarter if it weren鈥檛 for the uptick in inflation.
Nine of 11 economists polled by 大象传媒 said that they expect the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas to tighten its policy stance at its May 10 meeting.
Apart from alcoholic beverages and tobacco Ms. Edillon noted that the 鈥減roblem in inflation鈥 was due to higher prices of food, particularly the 鈥渞ice, fish, meat, and vegetable subsector.鈥
鈥淭herefore you are looking at inefficiencies post-harvest. Inefficiencies in the processing, in transport, logistics, and trade even,鈥 she said.
Ms. Edillon said economic managers are looking at the possibility of setting up food terminals outside metropolitan areas to streamline the movement of goods.
鈥淪o I think in the immediate term, what we need to do is to study the feasibility of putting up food terminals in the outskirts of highly urbanized cities because the problem is really this problem of trucking, the truck ban, the traffic,鈥 she said.
鈥淚f we have food terminals where food cargo from large container trucks can be transferred to smaller vans and they can be distributed across the city 24/7 not constrained by the truck ban, that would make for more efficient logistics,鈥 she added.
Ms. Edillon said possible locations outside Manila, Cebu, Davao, and Baguio are being considered.
The NEDA Board approved last month a P1.09-billion agri-industrial food complex in Davao to improve value chain development. But Ms. Edillon said NEDA is considering similar, but relatively 鈥渟caled-down鈥 projects, to hasten the implementation process.
鈥淚f they鈥檙e very small projects, in fact even LGUs (local government units) could do it. Even the DTI (Department of Trade and Industry) and the DA (Department of Agriculture) have funds for shared service facilities,鈥 Ms. Edillon said.
She said food terminals would complement efforts to move rice to a tariff system, allowing the private sector to import the staple grain.
Amendments to Republic Act (RA) No. 8178, or the Agricultural Tariffication Act are currently at committee level in the Senate and will go before the plenary in the House. This measure is expected to lower retail prices of rice by about P4-7 per kilo.
Ms. Edillon also said one more approach could be to resolve legal hurdles to land ownership, to make idle land productive.
鈥淚f you go around the country, and even here, in the vicinity of Metro Manila, you see a lot of idle land in subdivisions. The problem is there鈥檚 so many regulatory constraints with respect to the use of the land,鈥 she said.
鈥淪o these ones will have to be addressed so they can be brought to cultivation鈥 The surest way to address food inflation is to have more food. But the problem is available land. That means looking at the regulatory framework,鈥 Ms. Edillon added — Elijah Joseph C. Tubayan